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Tuesday October 16 2018
Who will finish as Serie A top goalscorer?

The Serie A title race may be going as predicted, but the fight for the Capocannoniere crown is far more unpredictable.

After the first seven games in Serie A, everything is proceeding as predicted as far as the table is concerned. Juventus have played eight and won eight, have a 13+ goal difference, and has already opened up a six-point gap over Napoli in second place.

However, what isn’t quite going according to the script is the leading goalscorer. Cristiano Ronaldo has long been the odds-on favourite with punters who like to bet on football sites, but at this early stage of the season, he is a little off the pace.

Instead, the surprise pacesetter is Genoa’s Krzysztof Piatek, with the Poland international having found the net nine times already in what is being called the best Serie A debut in 70 years. Piatek’s statistics are unexpected to say the least — he has played 630 minutes thus far this season, meaning he has remarkably scored a goal every 70 minutes. During this opening phase of the season, Piatek has had 29 shots, 14 of which have been on target, which represents a fantastic strike rate.

Piatek wasn’t even being quoted in most pre-season betting markets, but his excellent all-round performances have certainly brought him into the reckoning. Bookmakers aren’t convinced that he can maintain this form for a whole season, but nevertheless you can now get 14/1 on the Pole ending Serie A as Capocannoniere.

However, Piatek isn’t the only one whose scoring this season has come as something of a surprise. Napoli’s Lorenzo Insigne is second on the goalscoring chart, having scored six times in this campaign (with one assist), his best ever start to a Serie A season. Before the season began, you could have gotten odds as high as 50/1 on the 27-year-old Italy international finishing the year as top goalscorer, but these have been halved and you can now get 25/1.

It’s a similar story with the next three on the goalscoring table after eight games. Gregoire Defrel (Sampdoria – five goals), Rodrigo de Paul (Udinese – four goals) and Mario Mandzukic (Juventus – four goals) were not much fancied in the pre-season betting. Mandzukic was the only one figuring in the markets before the campaign began at 100/1, but he’s now priced at 33/1, along with Defrel. De Paul is now at 501 to end the season as the Serie A leading goalscorer.

But of course, no discussion of goalscoring in Serie A can be complete without Cristiano Ronaldo. Countless words have been written about the Portuguese’s move from Real Madrid to Juve during the summer, and after being the top goalscorer in La Liga three times (2010-11, 2013-14 and 2014-15) the expectation was that Ronaldo would take Serie A by storm. Before a ball was kicked, he was already odds-on favourite to be Capocannoniere at 8/11.

However, while his overall contributions to the team have been praised, Ronaldo has not thus far been as prolific in front of goal as most observers anticipated. In 720 minutes of playing time, he has scored four times, giving him a goal every 180 minutes. The much more ominous statistic, however, is that Ronaldo has had an astonishing 47 shots (almost twice as many as Piatek), with a League high 26 shots on target (56%).

With his clinical finishing skills, and as he settles in to the League and his new team, it’s hard to imagine that Ronaldo won’t justify his ongoing favourite status, and he is still odds-on at 18/25 to bag the most goals this season. This puts the Portuguese star a long way ahead of the next two in the betting, Lazio’s Ciro Immobile at 8/1 and Inter’s Mauro Icardi at 10/1. It would be a brave punter who bets against him.

Have your say...
Because Immobile scored more than anybody in Serie A last season??

Higuain is already a joke. Playing in a joke team like Milan. That is your answer.
on the 25th October, 2018 at 6:01am
The usual Icardi or perhaps Piatek if he can keep it up. Poor Higuain does not have the service any more.
on the 22nd October, 2018 at 10:55pm
Depending on how many more women come out Ronaldo could finish top scorer of another type of league!
on the 19th October, 2018 at 1:16pm
It will not be Ronaldo. He is struggling with the italian defence and struggling more with the defence lawyers, i can't see Juve 'investing' hush money or any more money on Ronaldo so Dybala could get alot more play time as Roni is definitely going to be more busy on trying to clear his name and staying out of prison or community service.
So Dybala could be 1 but Higuain will be a good shout as he has started well at Milan.
on the 19th October, 2018 at 1:10pm
How come no mention of either Higuain or Dzeko? Specially Higuain.

He's getting much better service at Milan than when he was with Juve. Milan relies on him more in scoring goals and don't require him to track back as much as he did under Allegri.
on the 19th October, 2018 at 3:59am
If Piatek isn't mad enough (as well as Genoa) to really leave the team in January, I believe there's no way of stopping him to take the throne! Everyone else could 'fight' for becoming runners up! And most likely for that position are probably Pipita, Icardi, maybe Dzeko again, and even Insigne, and of course, there's CR7!
on the 18th October, 2018 at 11:20am
@Viktor
That's a real positive take. Truly, for their current position Milan has a good GD and one game in hand.

However, they dropped many points while ahead, including the game against Napoli but moreso against lesser opponents. For a league competition, that is below par.

The season is long and I doubt anyone wants Piatek's hot form to stop, unless you support Sampdoria, so who knows? Be it Piatek, Immobile, Higuain or Ronaldo, it's a great season for strikers.
on the 18th October, 2018 at 10:20am
@Piatek

How are they below par?? They lost ONE game away to Napoli away.. 3-2.
on the 17th October, 2018 at 3:28pm
Between the usual 2 (Immobile and Icardi), plus Piatek and Ronaldo, Gonzalo could be a surprise but the current Milan is below par (very much)
on the 17th October, 2018 at 10:33am
Whoever it is, if he doesn't win trophies for his team with all his goals, then we don't care.
on the 17th October, 2018 at 9:53am
I don't think it will be Ron.He hasn't adjusted well to Serie A and whilst he has set up some goals he only has 4.I don't see why all of a sudden he will start scoring as he did for Real and especially with the allegations hanging over his head.
on the 17th October, 2018 at 9:49am
CR7 will be top Scorrer . As soon as he adjust then he will start scoring freely
on the 17th October, 2018 at 7:38am
I still think Ronaldo will become top scorer.
on the 16th October, 2018 at 11:07pm
why people forgot pipa ac milan rely on him to score goal,wait till wen hakan back inform the guy will score hatrick not only brace.forza milano
on the 16th October, 2018 at 10:52pm
Higuain is not ommited because the player is snubbed, but the current Milan will probably not be able to offer the service he received in Napoli and Juventus, but if he ends up in top 3 still no one would be surprised.
on the 16th October, 2018 at 9:56pm
Lol.. forgeting Higuain? I guess you drank too much while writing this blog. I suggest to take enough sleep and then write again.
on the 16th October, 2018 at 6:48pm
With the right kind of supply I would have put my money on Higuian to be up there amongst the top 3. I don't see that happening with Suso the only credible creator in Milan, with Higuian cutting a lone figure and being forced to drop back to partake in the game. We will see this responsibility shared with other players getting onto the scoresheet as well, with the supply line a bit thin towards Higuian. Forza Milan...
on the 16th October, 2018 at 3:00pm
I don't think Ronaldo will be top scorer. Serie A is the hardest league to score in Europe. Am betting on Icardi.
on the 16th October, 2018 at 1:42pm
Top scorer will be from a club who relies on one player for goals instead of spread around the team. I'd bet on Higuain, Icardi or Piatek.
on the 16th October, 2018 at 1:42pm
I mean how do you forget Higuain and put in Immobile?

Rly?
on the 16th October, 2018 at 12:25pm

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