BLOG ITALIA
Friday September 25 2015
Are Inter just getting lucky?

After a fifth successive yet unconvincing victory, Varun Mathure wonders if Inter are simply riding their luck in Serie A.

When Verona last visited San Siro, Nerazzurri fans were treated to a performance they have become accustomed to. Inter had conceded a late goal once more and were held to a draw. The result saw the team languishing in ninth place with just 16 points from their first 11 games.

The aftermath of the result saw then Coach Walter Mazzarri bemoan the onset of rain which served as the final nail in his coffin. Roberto Mancini was brought in five days later and he stated that his ambition was to take Inter back to the top in Italy and Europe.

Fast forward 10 months, and that is where the Serpenti find themselves, after their fifth win on a trot to open the season. Now Mancini finds himself playing down any Scudetto talk at this early stage in the season. However, many people are also wondering if the Nerazzurri can actually keep this up or have simply gotten lucky so far.

The arguments for the latter are rather compelling. All five Inter wins have come by a solitary goal and the team has found the net just six times. They haven’t been the most impressive team to watch, and their ‘lucky’ streak was exemplified against Verona when Sala hit the crossbar at one end, only to see Felipe Melo score less than 90 seconds later and give the Nerazzurri the lead.

They needed very late goals from Stevan Jovetic to secure the victories against Atalanta and Carpi, while against Milan only a fantastic Fredy Guarin strike gave them the breakthrough. Again, at Chievo, a deflection led to the ball favourably dropping for Mauro Icardi to score the only goal of the game. It does seem that the rub of the green is favouring them at the moment.

That said, at the same time, Inter haven’t looked like losing any of their first five games either. The desperate defending which had become commonplace over the last four years has been replaced by a calm and controlled approach to every game. They have conceded just 13 shots on target to their opposition, only one of which beat Samir Handanovic. In fact, you have to go back to 1972-73 to find a campaign where they had conceded fewer goals in their opening five games.

The midfield has appeared the strongest it has since the days of Esteban Cambiasso and Thiago Motta, with both Felipe Melo and Geoffrey Kondogbia excelling in keeping the ball and protecting the defence. This has seen Inter have an average of 57.7% of possession so far, which is the fourth best in the League. The Serpenti are also ranked fourth in the average number of passes completed with 509 per game.

A good indicator of where this team really stand and possibly how far they can go will come this weekend when Fiorentina visit San Siro on Sunday night. La Viola have a similar record to their hosts having kept four clean-sheets in their opening five games and have scored just one more than Inter this season. With both teams having started well, the onus will be on the Nerazzurri as the home side.

One of the issues with the team has been their inability to create many clear-cut opportunities despite having the firepower upfront in the form of Ivan Perišić, Stevan Jovetic, Mauro Icardi and Adem Ljajic. Mancini clearly needs more time to find the right combination, but la Viola shall provide him with a stern test. Inter’s following two home games see them face Juventus and Roma, and if the team continues to perform well, that title talk may just get louder and louder.

As for the brand of football and the ‘lucky’ tag that some have accused them of being, Felipe Melo summed up his side’s attitude at the moment in his post-game interview after the win over Verona. “If you don't like the way we play, they you can go watch Barcelona.”

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Have your say...
@ Devious - yes, the way news on this site is presented a lot to be desired in terms of impartiality. It is only 3 points. Good luck to Fiorentina, they took their luck,but what no body has said is that they have had an easy run to date as they have said about Inter. Fiorentina even lost 1-2 at home to Basel in the EL. Where were Sousa's master tactics there? or is it that he just didnt get a soft 2nd minute penalty.
on the 28th September, 2015 at 10:54am
first decent team they met...FOUR-1
on the 28th September, 2015 at 9:14am
Inter just used up their entire season's luck. Forza Viola! Top of the league since 1999!
on the 28th September, 2015 at 6:14am
Inter, had shown the winning mentality through five games, but sometimes luck play a lot in it...
Inter 1-4 Fiorentina, and today Fiorentina got the luck at 1st goal, and 2nd goal..
It still unclear for Inter and Fiorentina, as they havent met the real test such as Roma, Juventus, Napoli and Lazio..
on the 28th September, 2015 at 5:49am
Thank you for jinxing us.

Just a personal favor, usually when a team gets a red card in the first half you post your news (that team beat 10 man this team), only with Inter you post news in a different way.

Please dont do that, thank you.
on the 28th September, 2015 at 12:08am
Guess Fiorentina answered that question...
on the 27th September, 2015 at 10:25pm
Absolutely! Just look at the Fiorentina Game! Can't stop laughing...lol
on the 27th September, 2015 at 10:20pm
Guess Fiorentina answered that question
on the 27th September, 2015 at 10:18pm
As much as I loathe Inter, you do not "get lucky" five times in a row. They haven't been spectacular victories, but this Inter clearly has a defensive solidity that they haven't had since the days of Chivu, Samuel, Zanetti, ecc. They've also added some very talented attacking players, who give them ability to win games they would have drawn or lost last year.

That being said, Juventus is still going to win the Scudetto c:
on the 27th September, 2015 at 10:10pm
Yes.
on the 27th September, 2015 at 8:51pm
Luck is a ghost goal, an opponent's own goal, star opponents exiting injured, a ref allows you an offside goal, etc.

Inter's goals have been earned through hard work and fighting spirit, *especially* the late goals which came at the stage many teams quit and settle for a draw. Icardi wasn't lucky; he followed the play and finished, which players fail to do every week.

Inter only have been lucky thus far with injuries, an area where they've been extremely UNlucky the past 5 years.
on the 27th September, 2015 at 4:11pm
I dislike Inter, but when Juve were winning games 1-0, or 2-1, grinding out results, it wassaid it was due to Conte building a warrior mentality in them, so if Inter are doing the same, keeping a clean sheets and keeping going until the death then you give yourself a chance of winning a game.
on the 27th September, 2015 at 10:32am
come on people you should all be aware by now this is a site of Milan fans that are hurting bad lol. I don't know why they call it football Italia it should be ac Milan's official site.
on the 26th September, 2015 at 9:54pm
Our schedule was easy? Let's see what our opponents did so far:

Sassuolo 2:2 ATALANTA
CARPI 0:1 Fiorentina // Carpi had more chances
CARPI 0:0 Napoli
CHIEVO 4:0 Lazio
Juve 1:1 CHIEVO
CHIEVO 1:0 Torino
HELLAS 1:1 Roma
HELLAS 2:2 Torino

Yes we score few goals but are the other big teams better at it? No!
on the 26th September, 2015 at 3:20pm
Till now, not one opponent dominated us. Apart from Milan, most chances our opponents created were from counter attacks. I'm not saying that we dominated, but we were always the better team (- Derby which was evenly). Especially if you consider the new members of our Starting XI (Kondogbia, Perisic, Murillo, Miranda, Melo, Jovetic), plus Juan Jesus as left back and Medel as CB. Other teams need time to gel you say? How about Inter? No? Hypocrite!
on the 26th September, 2015 at 3:19pm
The last time Inter won their first 5 was The Grande Inter under Herrera in 66. They also won every game by a single goal. It is called being organised, astute & efficient.
on the 26th September, 2015 at 11:53am
the truth has been told, well said GB
on the 25th September, 2015 at 8:33pm
@Rahul

Against Verona Inter had over 60% possession, 11 corners vs Verona's 2. We had 17 shots against their 7.
Against Chievo we were almost split on everything. Inter had 10% more possession.

Against Milan..also very much split down the middle.

What is your definition of dominating??

@Juveman Last minute goals?? The last three games we played we scored in the 58th, 56th and 42nd minutes.Are soccer games lasting only 60 minutes these days? No one told me.
on the 25th September, 2015 at 7:48pm
@Juveman: Cushy Schedule?? In 5 games Juve has played Udinese, Frosinone and Genoa. Udinese hasn't won a game since beating Juve, Frosinone got their first point in the game against you and Genoa has only won one game for the season. Three of your 5 games were against teams that on their current form you should have beaten. So Juve has had a pretty good schedule!!!
on the 25th September, 2015 at 7:10pm
There's always an element of luck with goals and wins but what's happening with Inter is no surprise to me. This is very similar to what Mancini did in his first full season at Man City - keep the defence tight and try to score a goal. The problem I think is Inter don't have a real creative outlet in their front three so they won't create many goals which would make it difficult to win the title but I'm sure it'll give Inter a top 3 finish.
on the 25th September, 2015 at 5:28pm
Lol mankini is an over rated coach! Always has been and yes inter have been lucky! But have still won helps them alot that Napoli juve and Roma so called favs are all struggling! Anyhow lets see how the season pans out..forever italys THIRD team
on the 25th September, 2015 at 4:58pm
@Juveman Your comments are so biased they are pathetic. But I guess with the fortunes turned the way they have so far this season, I would be butthurt too as a Juve fan.
on the 25th September, 2015 at 4:54pm
@juveman your comments are a bit hypocritical considering that much of Juve's success under Lippi were characterized by 1 nil wins. I didn't hear complaints about Juve being lucky then. Concerning the 'easy' run of fixtures to start with, you can only beat the teams they place in front of you. If it was so easy Juventus would have beaten Chievo and Frosinone easily.
on the 25th September, 2015 at 4:04pm
Poor showings then luckly escape..Verona dominated,milan dominated,chievo dominated
on the 25th September, 2015 at 3:49pm
I THINK INTER IS INTER... FIORENTINA A GOING TO SMELL PEPPER FROM THEIR FORMER PLAYERS HAHAHAH MELO, LLAJIC AND JOVETIC....
PEACE BE ON TO US FORZA INTER FORZA ITALIEN FOOTBALL
FROM GHANA
JONATHAN Amparbeng Kyeremeh
on the 25th September, 2015 at 3:31pm
@Juveman: Cushy schedule? We have already played Milan and an in-form Chievo. We're playing an in-form Fiorentina next. What cushy schedule are you talking about? If we had your schedule we would still have 15 points.
on the 25th September, 2015 at 3:14pm
LOL Inter never gets their due credit in Italy. Luck doesn't work this way. The fact is playing at 50% and winning games is a mark of a champion. Imagine how much better we will be in December when our new-look attack has finally gelled. We are actually dominating all our games, luck can't help with that.
on the 25th September, 2015 at 3:12pm
I highly doubt they can keep getting so lucky with their last minute goals, and lucky wins and i highly doubt that come the business end of the year when they play all the good teams away seeing as so far they're all at home they'll be anywhere close to the top of the league.If they do then so help us god.
on the 25th September, 2015 at 2:34pm
This team is the poster of luck, they have had a cushy schedule so far and still basically won every game with a healthy serving of luck, to top it off they have no european competitions cause they were god awful last year and to further help these losers out so far the best teams in serie A (juve,roma,napoli) have gotten off to the worst start i can remember.
on the 25th September, 2015 at 2:33pm
While the lack of goals is certainly a cause of concern, the fact that the defense has only conceded 1 goal in 5 games washes away all those concerns. It seems like every excuse given by Allegri and Garcia goes back to the teams needing time to "gel". Why can't that excuse be given by Inter for their lack of goals? We are dealing with almost an entirely new starting 11, unlike Roma/Juve. Let's not get carried away wit the calls of Inter's performance being "lucky".
on the 25th September, 2015 at 2:30pm

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